Browse by Author "Emrah Ismail Cevik"
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Results Per Page
Sort Options
- PublicationBank default indicators with volatility clusteringEmrah Ismail Cevik; Sel Dibooglu; Turalay Kenc (Springer-Verlag GmbH, 2021)
We estimate default measures for US banks using a model capable of handling volatility clustering like those observed during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). In order to account for the time variation in volatility, we adapted a GARCH option pricing model which extends the seminal structural approach of default by Merton (J Finance 29(2):449, 1974) and calculated "distance to default" indicators that respond to heightened market developments.With its richer volatility dynamics, our results better reflect higher expected default probabilities precipitated by the GFC. The diagnostics show that the model generally outperforms standard models of default and offers relatively good indicators in assessing bank failures.
Abstract View
2653382
View & Download
167528