Browsing by Topic Conventional finance::Economics

Jump to: 0-9 A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
or enter first few letters:  
Showing results 57 to 66 of 95
  • chapter 13_managing the Malaysian economy after GE 2008_Ariff.jpg.jpg
  • Chapter in Book


  • Authors: Lopez, Greg; Abdul Kareem, Mohamed Ariff (2018)

  • On 8 March 2008 (GE 2008) Malaysians unexpectedly delivered a stunning blow to Malaysia's long-standing ruling coalition, Barisan Nasional (BN), at the twelfth general election. Although it won the election, BN lost its psychologically important two-thirds majority in parliament which allows it to change the Federal Constitution at will. The blow was all the more devastating as the Anwar Ibrahim-led informal coalition of Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR/People's Iustice Party), Democratic Action Party (DAP) and Parti Se-Islam Malaysia (PAS/Pan Islamic Party of Malaysia) managed to form state governments in almost all states in the developed western parts of Peninsular Malaysia with citizens...

  • model_uncertainty_asset_return_predictability_application_bayesian_model_averaging_masih_mie.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Masih, Rumi; Mohammed Masih, Abul Mansur; Mie, Killian (2010)

  • We investigate model uncertainty associated with predictive regressions employed in asset return forecasting research. We use simple combination and Bayesian model averaging (BMA) techniques to compare the performance of these forecasting approaches in short-vs. long-run horizons of S&P500 monthly excess returns. Simple averaging involves an equally-weighted averaging of the forecasts from alternative combinations of factors used in the predictive regressions, whereas BMA involves computing the predictive probability that each model is the true model and uses these predictive probabilities as weights in combing the forecasts from different models. From a given set of multiple factors,...

  • money_supply_interest_rate_liquidity_share_prices_test_their_linkage_ariff.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Ariff, Mohamed; Tin-fah, Chung; Ramadili Mohd, Shamsher Mohamad (2012)

  • The money supply impacts on interest rate and liquidity were first proposed in 1961 by Friedman, the late Nobel laureate. The liquidity effect has yet received unanimous empirical support. Also, research interest on liquidity subsided in the 2000s. Using quarterly data over 1960–2011 and simultaneous solution to a system of equations, this paper reports positive liquidity effect from money supply. By extending the system of equations with a liquidity equation and after controlling the effect of earnings, evidence is found of a significant positive effect from liquidity on share prices. Money supply is found to be endogenous as in post Keynesian theory. These findings, obtained after s...

  • money_price_relation_malaysia_disappeared_strengthened_mansor.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Ibrahim, Mansor H. (2010)

  • The paper analyzes empirically the money-price link for the case of Malaysia using quarterly data from 1978 to 2006. Looking at the correlations between cyclical components of monetary aggregates (M1, M2 and M3) and of the price level, we note that the significant correlations documented between money and price during 1978–1987 tend to disappear or become perverse during late 1980s and 1990s. However, for the case of M2 and M3 monetary aggregates, their significant relations with the price level reemerge during 1998–2006. While time series analyses of cointegration and vector autoregressions (VAR) are uncertain in suggesting the pre-1998 relations between broader monetary aggregates (...

  • multiple_commodities_in_statistical_microeconomics_model and_market_belal_miao_xin.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Baaquie, Belal E.; Miao, Yu; Xin, Du (2016)

  • A statistical generalization of microeconomics has been made in Baaquie (2013). In Baaquie et al. (2015), the market behavior of single commodities was analyzed and it was shown that market data provides strong support for the statistical microeconomic description of commodity prices. The case of multiple commodities is studied and a parsimonious generalization of the single commodity model is made for the multiple commodities case. Market data shows that the generalization can accurately model the simultaneous correlation functions of up to four commodities. To accurately model five or more commodities, further terms have to be included in the model. This study shows that the statist...

  • new_evidence_from_an_alternative_methodological_approach_mansur_et_al.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Mohammed Masih, Abul Mansur; Masih, Rumi; Hasan, Mohammad S. (1997)

  • Proposes to re-examine empirically the causal relationship between defence spending and economic growth in mainland China. First, using a VAR modelling technique with suitable diagnostics, e.g. Akaike's FPE statistics and a likelihood ratio test for over and under-fitting the causal model, the results indicate a positive unidirectional causality flowing from defence spending to economic growth. Second, by evaluating a dynamic vector error correction model, variance decomposition and impulse response functions, then analyses the direction, duration and strength of Granger-causality between defence spending and economic growth. The results broadly indicate that defence spending and econ...

  • oil_food_prices_malaysia_nonlinear_ardl_analysis_mansor.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Ibrahim, Mansor H. (2015)

  • The present paper analyses the relations between food and oil prices for Malaysia using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) model. The bounds test of the NARDL specification suggests the presence of cointegration among the variables, which include the food price, oil price and real GDP. The estimated NARDL model affirms the presence of asymmetries in the food price behavior. Namely, in the long run, we find a significant relation between oil price increases and food price. Meanwhile, the long run relation between oil price reduction and the food price is absent. Furthermore, in the short run, only changes in the positive oil price exert significant influences on the fo...

  • oil_price_risk_in_selected_asean_market_mansor.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Ibrahim, Mansor H. (2014)

  • This paper analyzes the oil price risk in four ASEAN markets using a two-factor "market and oil" model and EGARCH(1, 1) variance specification. In the analysis, three alternative non-linear measures of oil prices are used and robustness check of basic results is also performed. The results suggest a direct relation between oil price changes and stock market returns and indicate no evidence for asymmetric oil price risk for Indonesia. Meanwhile, the asymmetric oil price risk seems apparent for the markets of Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. For an oil exporting Malaysia, the oil price decline tends to compromise its market performance while the oil price increase does not seem to be b...

  • performance_evaluation_agricultural_sub_sectors_capital_productivity_perspective_kazem.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Habibollah, Salami; Shabani, Zohreh; Sadr, Seyed Kazem (2009)

  • In the present study, the productivity of capital input in different agricultural subsectors is assessed for the period 1976-2007 and the performances compared accordingly. In addition, the performances are compared in the context of various five year economic, social and cultural development plans based on the rate of growth of capital input during the implementation of the different plans. Results indicate that fisheries, and forestry sub-sectors have undergone a declining trend in the productivity of capital input, while field cropping, horticulture, and animal husbandry sub-sectors have experienced increasing trend in the productivity of capital input during the study period. Amon...

Browsing by Topic Conventional finance::Economics

Jump to: 0-9 A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
or enter first few letters:  
Showing results 57 to 66 of 95
  • chapter 13_managing the Malaysian economy after GE 2008_Ariff.jpg.jpg
  • Chapter in Book


  • Authors: Lopez, Greg; Abdul Kareem, Mohamed Ariff (2018)

  • On 8 March 2008 (GE 2008) Malaysians unexpectedly delivered a stunning blow to Malaysia's long-standing ruling coalition, Barisan Nasional (BN), at the twelfth general election. Although it won the election, BN lost its psychologically important two-thirds majority in parliament which allows it to change the Federal Constitution at will. The blow was all the more devastating as the Anwar Ibrahim-led informal coalition of Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR/People's Iustice Party), Democratic Action Party (DAP) and Parti Se-Islam Malaysia (PAS/Pan Islamic Party of Malaysia) managed to form state governments in almost all states in the developed western parts of Peninsular Malaysia with citizens...

  • model_uncertainty_asset_return_predictability_application_bayesian_model_averaging_masih_mie.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Masih, Rumi; Mohammed Masih, Abul Mansur; Mie, Killian (2010)

  • We investigate model uncertainty associated with predictive regressions employed in asset return forecasting research. We use simple combination and Bayesian model averaging (BMA) techniques to compare the performance of these forecasting approaches in short-vs. long-run horizons of S&P500 monthly excess returns. Simple averaging involves an equally-weighted averaging of the forecasts from alternative combinations of factors used in the predictive regressions, whereas BMA involves computing the predictive probability that each model is the true model and uses these predictive probabilities as weights in combing the forecasts from different models. From a given set of multiple factors,...

  • money_supply_interest_rate_liquidity_share_prices_test_their_linkage_ariff.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Ariff, Mohamed; Tin-fah, Chung; Ramadili Mohd, Shamsher Mohamad (2012)

  • The money supply impacts on interest rate and liquidity were first proposed in 1961 by Friedman, the late Nobel laureate. The liquidity effect has yet received unanimous empirical support. Also, research interest on liquidity subsided in the 2000s. Using quarterly data over 1960–2011 and simultaneous solution to a system of equations, this paper reports positive liquidity effect from money supply. By extending the system of equations with a liquidity equation and after controlling the effect of earnings, evidence is found of a significant positive effect from liquidity on share prices. Money supply is found to be endogenous as in post Keynesian theory. These findings, obtained after s...

  • money_price_relation_malaysia_disappeared_strengthened_mansor.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Ibrahim, Mansor H. (2010)

  • The paper analyzes empirically the money-price link for the case of Malaysia using quarterly data from 1978 to 2006. Looking at the correlations between cyclical components of monetary aggregates (M1, M2 and M3) and of the price level, we note that the significant correlations documented between money and price during 1978–1987 tend to disappear or become perverse during late 1980s and 1990s. However, for the case of M2 and M3 monetary aggregates, their significant relations with the price level reemerge during 1998–2006. While time series analyses of cointegration and vector autoregressions (VAR) are uncertain in suggesting the pre-1998 relations between broader monetary aggregates (...

  • multiple_commodities_in_statistical_microeconomics_model and_market_belal_miao_xin.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Baaquie, Belal E.; Miao, Yu; Xin, Du (2016)

  • A statistical generalization of microeconomics has been made in Baaquie (2013). In Baaquie et al. (2015), the market behavior of single commodities was analyzed and it was shown that market data provides strong support for the statistical microeconomic description of commodity prices. The case of multiple commodities is studied and a parsimonious generalization of the single commodity model is made for the multiple commodities case. Market data shows that the generalization can accurately model the simultaneous correlation functions of up to four commodities. To accurately model five or more commodities, further terms have to be included in the model. This study shows that the statist...

  • new_evidence_from_an_alternative_methodological_approach_mansur_et_al.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Mohammed Masih, Abul Mansur; Masih, Rumi; Hasan, Mohammad S. (1997)

  • Proposes to re-examine empirically the causal relationship between defence spending and economic growth in mainland China. First, using a VAR modelling technique with suitable diagnostics, e.g. Akaike's FPE statistics and a likelihood ratio test for over and under-fitting the causal model, the results indicate a positive unidirectional causality flowing from defence spending to economic growth. Second, by evaluating a dynamic vector error correction model, variance decomposition and impulse response functions, then analyses the direction, duration and strength of Granger-causality between defence spending and economic growth. The results broadly indicate that defence spending and econ...

  • oil_food_prices_malaysia_nonlinear_ardl_analysis_mansor.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Ibrahim, Mansor H. (2015)

  • The present paper analyses the relations between food and oil prices for Malaysia using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) model. The bounds test of the NARDL specification suggests the presence of cointegration among the variables, which include the food price, oil price and real GDP. The estimated NARDL model affirms the presence of asymmetries in the food price behavior. Namely, in the long run, we find a significant relation between oil price increases and food price. Meanwhile, the long run relation between oil price reduction and the food price is absent. Furthermore, in the short run, only changes in the positive oil price exert significant influences on the fo...

  • oil_price_risk_in_selected_asean_market_mansor.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Ibrahim, Mansor H. (2014)

  • This paper analyzes the oil price risk in four ASEAN markets using a two-factor "market and oil" model and EGARCH(1, 1) variance specification. In the analysis, three alternative non-linear measures of oil prices are used and robustness check of basic results is also performed. The results suggest a direct relation between oil price changes and stock market returns and indicate no evidence for asymmetric oil price risk for Indonesia. Meanwhile, the asymmetric oil price risk seems apparent for the markets of Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. For an oil exporting Malaysia, the oil price decline tends to compromise its market performance while the oil price increase does not seem to be b...

  • performance_evaluation_agricultural_sub_sectors_capital_productivity_perspective_kazem.pdf.jpg
  • Journal Article


  • Authors: Habibollah, Salami; Shabani, Zohreh; Sadr, Seyed Kazem (2009)

  • In the present study, the productivity of capital input in different agricultural subsectors is assessed for the period 1976-2007 and the performances compared accordingly. In addition, the performances are compared in the context of various five year economic, social and cultural development plans based on the rate of growth of capital input during the implementation of the different plans. Results indicate that fisheries, and forestry sub-sectors have undergone a declining trend in the productivity of capital input, while field cropping, horticulture, and animal husbandry sub-sectors have experienced increasing trend in the productivity of capital input during the study period. Amon...